Thursday, April 29, 2010

Second Round Picks

Since I did so well in my 1st round picks, including my pick of Montreal over Washington, I figured I should probably blog it this time so that there was some more tangible proof besides my conversations with people. So here are my second round picks, with some basic explanations as to why I'm making them.

Pittsburgh vs. Montreal

My pick: Pittsburgh

Why?: Once again, just I said for the Habs series versus the Caps, I'm warning that this is going to be a much more difficult series than people realize. A lot of that is based on the goaltending of Jaroslav Halak, but it's also because of Jacques Martin's ability to create a defensive game plan. In the end though, the Pens will be just too much for the Habs to handle. There are fundamental differences between the Caps and the Pens that makes this series infinitely more difficult for Montreal to win. Chief among those is Pittsburgh's ability to play defense when it matters. Unlike Washington, who has some very subject goaltending, it's very difficult to score on the Pens from the perimeter. That means getting to the front of the net and getting a lot of dirty goals on Fleury. While Fleury hasn't looked stellar so far in these playoffs, it is hard to get clear net drive through the centre lane against the Pens. Their strength is down the middle, and with that strength is both size and speed which will make it much more difficult for Montreal to score goals in this series. Is it likely that Halak can steal a game or two in this series? Absolutely. And if he manages to steal the right one or two, this could become a very interesting series in a real hurry, but in all fairness, and with loads of respect to Halak, I think the Pens get this done.


Boston vs. Philadelphia

My Pick: Boston

Why?: If you look at these two teams on paper, they are actually remarkably similar. Both have oversized forwards, and both have a singular tower of strength on the back end. The biggest difference between these teams is goaltending. Boston has two, and the Flyers have to hope Brian Boucher doesn't falter. The Bruins have the luxury of knowing that Rask is going to hold them in pretty much every game they play. He may manage to steal a game, but in all likelihood, he's not going to lose you game. This series will be incredibly physical though, and that essentially means that neither team, regardless of the winner will survive the Eastern final, no matter who they play. In the end, I'm counting on Boston's goaltending to be just a little bit better than Philly's and get them the win.




San Jose vs. Detroit

My Pick: Detroit

Why?: Depth and experience. Those two things cannot be underestimated. Especially when it is a depth of experience. Detroit has this innate ability to raise their game when it matters the most. San Jose, with the exception of only a few players, does not have that ability. There is the defensive presence on Detroit which also indicates that the top two lines will have some serious issues scoring for the Sharks. Also, while Nabbie is an outstanding goalie, and in the regular season, he would get the clear nod in this matchup, he tends to turn into former backup Vesa Toskala when the playoffs start. Every game can be an adventure. He may still steal a game, but you just never know with him. He's been solid so far, but he'll have to better than solid in this series. Conversely, Howard just has to be solid. That's a great luxury to have as a goaltender, and it's bound to give you more confidence. In the end, the experience of Detroit and the depth of that experience is too much for the Sharks. Especially when having to beat two of the best two war forwards of this generation in Datsyuk and Zetterberg. Detroit wins this one, but they'll get pushed to the limit.


Chicago vs. Vancouver

My Pick: Vancouver

Why?: Henrik and Daniel Sedin. There's no more to say. These two guys have finally arrived. Hank in particular. There's no other way to put it. In the past, at least from the outside, there has always appeared to be an identity crisis on this team. Were they a goaltender with a team, or a team with a goaltender? That has been put to bed. This is the Sedins' team. Look for Roberto Luongo to be motivated for this one too. He isn't going to want to relive the disappointment of last year. Add to that the fact that Niemi has seemed incredibly second class at times, and it's hard to believe that Chicago can pull this one out. Will it be a close series? You bet your ass it will. But, Vancouver is likely too much for the Hawks. At least this year.

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